SignalMacro

CBOE Nasdaq Volatility $23.26 ↑ 5.5% 23th %ile (complacency) • KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — 32,000 to 32,499.99

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?

What changed

Kalshi: KXNASDAQ100Y 4.0% — Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 32000 and 32499.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST? Percentile: 23th in 90d range | Regime: complacency

Why it matters

Volatility rose 6.6% to $23.49, yet sits at 28th percentile, signaling neutral macro conditions for the Nasdaq-100 year-

Sources

futures